University of Sheffield, MAS371 Applied Probability

Welcome to the web pages for MAS371 Applied Probability. Course notes, exercises and solutions will appear here, in PDF format.

Timetable information

Face to face teaching has been suspended. Video lectures can be found via MOLE/Blackboard.

Assessment and feedback

Assessment is by an exam at the end of the module. Details on how this will work during the COVID19 pandemic will follow.

Feedback will be via homeworks handed in on three occasions; provisionally, the deadlines will be the Thursdays in weeks 4, 7 and 10 (5 March, 26 March, 7 May).

Lecture notes

Notes for the course.

Slides will appear here after the relevant section has been lectured.

Some exploration of further use of continuous time Markov chain models for epidemics, including some simulations, is available: Modelling an epidemic on a network.


Booklet of exercises for the course. This covers the whole course.

Solutions to exercises

Solutions will appear here.

Solutions. All solutions are now available.

R code

The following R code appears in the notes or is useful for doing related calculations

Past exam solutions

These will appear on MOLE before the exam. The exam papers themselves can be found on the SoMaS past papers page.

Contact details

To contact the lecturer, email

A discussion board for this module is available on MOLE/Blackboard.


The materials for this course are largely based on those used by Prof Paul Blackwell in previous years.

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School of Mathematics and Statistics current students page

Last updated 14 May 2020.